NBA Western Conference Odds 2026-27: Thunder, Spurs Both +145

Oklahoma City and San Antonio are co-favorites to win the West at +145 apiece, with Denver and Minnesota next at +1400, per BetMGM pricing as of Sept. 23. That price has shifted only slightly since books opened: BetMGM had the Thunder at +145 and the Spurs at +150, and the Spurs have since tightened to match at +145 after eliminating Oklahoma City from last season's playoffs, per RG.org. Houston and the Lakers are tied for third-shortest at +2200.

NBA Western Conference Odds 2026-27: The Full Board

Here is BetMGM's board, current price against its opening number, as of Sept. 23.

| Team | BetMGM (Sept. 23) | BetMGM open | |-|-|-| | Thunder | +145 | +145 | | Spurs | +145 | +150 | | Nuggets | +1400 | +1200 | | Timberwolves | +1400 | +1600 | | Rockets | +2200 | +2500 | | Lakers | +2200 | +1500 | | Warriors | +2500 | +3000 | | Trail Blazers | +3500 | +5000 | | Suns | +8000 | +6600 | | Jazz | +8000 | +10000 | | Mavericks | +10000 | +6600 | | Clippers | +25000 | +4000 | | Pelicans | +25000 | +20000 | | Grizzlies | +30000 | +30000 | | Kings | +50000 | +30000 | Prices via BetMGM.

The Thunder and Spurs' +145 works out to roughly 40.8% implied probability apiece, miles clear of Denver and Minnesota at about 6.7% each. Our NBA Eastern Conference odds piece has the East side of this same market, where three different teams have led the board since books opened.

Thunder vs. Spurs: A Rematch Brewing

San Antonio is "the obstacle that actually matters" for Oklahoma City, per RG.org, which notes the Spurs knocked the Thunder out of the 2025-26 playoffs. The Thunder kept their core, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams both return, but lost rotation pieces for cap reasons, per NBA.com's offseason recap: Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins are all gone, replaced on the margins by Aday Mara, Otega Oweh and Bennett Stirtz, per NBA.com's offseason recap, none of them rotation names yet. The Spurs added a proven veteran scorer in Tobias Harris, fresh off his Detroit stint, plus a wave of young prospects, per NBA.com's Southwest Division recap, while shedding size in Bismack Biyombo and Mason Plumlee.

The Chasing Pack: Nuggets and Timberwolves

Denver's approach was stability. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray stay the core, and the Nuggets' additions, Marvin Bagley III and Bruce Brown among them, are bench depth rather than star power, per NBA.com. Minnesota made the loudest move in the conference: a trade for LaMelo Ball, who NBA.com's recap calls "a refreshing and much-needed backcourt partner" for Anthony Edwards. The same offseason saw Minnesota part ways with Naz Reid, Julius Randle and Mike Conley, per NBA.com, a real talent swing rather than a depth move, and the kind of change that can move a conference number fast if it hits.

Third Tier: Rockets Banking on VanVleet's Return

Houston sits tied for third-shortest at +2200 alongside the Lakers. The Rockets mostly held the roster together, per NBA.com's Southwest Division recap, adding Bogdan Bogdanovic, Marcus Smart and Bruce Thornton for shooting and backcourt depth while losing rotation pieces in Dorian Finney-Smith, Jeff Green and Aaron Holiday. The recap frames Smart as "another veteran point guard" brought in to support Fred VanVleet's anticipated return, which is the real swing factor on Houston's number. If VanVleet is healthy and effective from the opener, +2200 looks generous for a team that already pushed deep into last year's bracket. If he is eased in slowly, the gap to Denver and Minnesota widens fast, and Houston's +2200 starts to look like the field rather than a true contender's number.

Betting Impact: Books Do Not All Agree

Shop before you bet this market. Per RG.org, Oklahoma City was shorter at two other books as of Sept. 20: FanDuel had the Thunder at +125 (about 44.4% implied) and BetRivers at +140 (41.7%), both tighter than BetMGM's +145 three days later. That spread, +125 to +145 on the same team within a week, is real line-shopping value on a short favorite. On the other end of the board, the Clippers moved the most of any team, from +4000 at BetMGM's open to +25000 now, the steepest drift on the sheet. For a game-level read once the season tips off, StatSniper's daily NBA picks page updates nightly, and the NBA win totals breakdown covers every team's over/under number.

What to Watch Next

Oklahoma City opens defense of its title with a healthy Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams, and the first real test of whether the lost depth shows up is how the bench performs against Western Conference playoff teams in November. San Antonio's price depends on how fast Harris integrates into the rotation and whether its young additions push for real minutes. Minnesota is the name to track closer than the number suggests, Ball and Edwards have not played a competitive minute together yet, and a hot start could squeeze a Thunder-Spurs market that has not moved in weeks.

FAQ

Who is favored to win the Western Conference in 2026-27? Oklahoma City and San Antonio, co-favorites at +145 apiece, per BetMGM, as of Sept. 23.

What are the Nuggets' odds to win the West? Denver is +1400, per BetMGM, as of Sept. 23, up from an opening +1200.

Did the Spurs really eliminate the Thunder last season? Yes. Per RG.org, San Antonio beat Oklahoma City in the 2025-26 playoffs.

What was Minnesota's biggest offseason move? Acquiring LaMelo Ball to play alongside Anthony Edwards, a deal that cost the Timberwolves Naz Reid, Julius Randle and Mike Conley, per NBA.com.

StatSniper's AI sports picks hub tracks how this board moves through the season, and Chad AI inside the Chad app covers nightly NBA prop reads alongside the conference futures.

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