NFL Conference Championship Odds 2026: 49ers +250, Chiefs +365
NFL conference championship odds 2026: DraftKings has San Francisco +250 in the NFC and Kansas City +365 in the AFC as of Oct. 12, with records and seeds.
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The San Francisco 49ers are +250 to win the NFC and the Kansas City Chiefs are +365 to win the AFC, per DraftKings' conference winner futures in ESPN's odds feed read on Oct. 12. Those are the NFL conference championship odds leaders, and both teams are unbeaten: San Francisco is 5-0 and Kansas City is 4-0, per the ESPN standings feed read Oct. 12. The Los Angeles Rams share the Chiefs' +365 price in the NFC despite a 2-2 record. Records and prices here are before Monday night's Bills at Rams game on Oct. 12, so both will move.
NFL Conference Championship Odds 2026: The AFC Board
All prices below are DraftKings, per ESPN's NFL futures feed on Oct. 12. Records and seeds are from the ESPN standings feed read Oct. 12.
To convert a price, divide 100 by (odds plus 100). A +365 price is 100 divided by 465, or about 21.5%. The 16 AFC prices add up to about 118.7% implied, so the book's margin on this market is close to 19 points.
| Team | Record | DraftKings via ESPN, Oct. 12 | Implied | |-|-|-|-| | Kansas City Chiefs | 4-0 | +365 | 21.5% | | Baltimore Ravens | 4-1 | +405 | 19.8% | | Buffalo Bills | 3-1 | +490 | 16.9% | | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-1 | +490 | 16.9% | | New England Patriots | 3-2 | +770 | 11.5% | | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2 | +970 | 9.3% | | Denver Broncos | 3-2 | +1000 | 9.1% | | Houston Texans | 1-4 | +3000 | 3.2% | | Indianapolis Colts | 2-3 | +3900 | 2.5% | | Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-2 | +4100 | 2.4% |
On the DraftKings board per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, Kansas City, Baltimore, Buffalo and Jacksonville are all priced between +365 and +490, and their implied probabilities sum to about 75%. Buffalo's price is before Monday night's game against the Rams.
DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, has Jacksonville (4-1, third in the AFC standings) at the same +490 as Buffalo (3-1). Houston is +3000 at 1-4, and Pittsburgh is +4100 at 3-2.
The tables do not list every team. At the bottom of the board, Miami, Tennessee and the Chargers are all 0-5. On DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, Miami and Tennessee are +20000 and the Chargers are +17000, about 0.5% to 0.6% each.
NFC Conference Championship Odds: San Francisco Is the Clear Favorite
On DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, the 16 NFC prices add up to about 118.4% implied.
| Team | Record | DraftKings via ESPN, Oct. 12 | Implied | |-|-|-|-| | San Francisco 49ers | 5-0 | +250 | 28.6% | | Los Angeles Rams | 2-2 | +365 | 21.5% | | Seattle Seahawks | 3-2 | +550 | 15.4% | | Chicago Bears | 3-2 | +860 | 10.4% | | Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | +880 | 10.2% | | Detroit Lions | 3-2 | +1375 | 6.8% | | Dallas Cowboys | 2-3 | +2050 | 4.7% | | Philadelphia Eagles | 2-3 | +2100 | 4.5% | | Green Bay Packers | 3-2 | +2300 | 4.2% | | Atlanta Falcons | 2-3 | +2700 | 3.6% | | New York Giants | 3-1-1 | +6300 | 1.6% |
The Vikings are 5-0, matching San Francisco's record, but DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, has them at +880, behind the 2-2 Rams (+365), the 3-2 Seahawks (+550) and the 3-2 Bears (+860).
The Giants are 3-1-1 and hold the NFC's third seed, yet DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, has them at +6300, behind Dallas, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta and Carolina (+2800, seed 4), none of whom has more than three wins. Washington is +10000 at 1-3-1, Tampa Bay +7200 at 1-4, and Arizona +20000 at 1-4.
What the Prices Say About the Super Bowl Path
A conference winner is a two-step bet: win the division or earn a wild card, then win three or four playoff games. Futures on a 17-game season tie up money for months.
On the DraftKings board per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, the AFC has no runaway favorite. No team is shorter than +365, and four teams sit between +365 and +490. In the NFC, San Francisco is +250, with Los Angeles at +365 and Seattle at +550. Our AI sports picks hub and daily NFL picks carry weekly game reads that feed into these futures.
Betting Impact: Where the NFL Conference Championship Odds Look Off
1. Minnesota at +880. DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, prices the 5-0 Vikings at about 10.2%, while the 5-0 49ers are 28.6%. 2. Jacksonville at +490. At 4-1, the Jaguars are priced the same as 3-1 Buffalo and ahead of New England (+770), Cincinnati (+970) and Denver (+1000), all DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12. 3. Los Angeles Rams at +365. DraftKings, per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, has the 2-2 Rams as the NFC's second choice, before Monday night's Bills at Rams game, while ESPN's standings put them ninth, outside the seven playoff spots. Seattle (+550, 3-2) is eighth, also outside them. 4. The 0-5 teams. Miami, Tennessee and the Chargers carry DraftKings prices per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12 of +17000 to +20000.
Remember the margin. With roughly 18 to 19 points of overround on each conference market, picking the right team is not enough. You need the price to beat the true chance.
What to Watch Next
Track the conference standings first. Kansas City (AFC) and San Francisco (NFC) hold the top seeds in ESPN's feed read Oct. 12, and only the top seed in each conference earns a first-round bye. Next, compare the DraftKings prices per ESPN's feed read Oct. 12 (Minnesota +880, Jacksonville +490, the Rams +365) with how those teams' records and seeds look after the next slate.
You can follow the live table on ESPN's NFL standings page. Check Chad, StatSniper's AI, and the NFL daily picks for weekly picks.
FAQ
Who is favored to win the NFC in 2026? The San Francisco 49ers are +250 at DraftKings, per ESPN's odds feed on Oct. 12, which implies about 28.6%. The Los Angeles Rams are second at +365 and the Seattle Seahawks third at +550.
Who is favored to win the AFC in 2026? The Kansas City Chiefs are +365 at DraftKings, per ESPN on Oct. 12 (about 21.5%). Baltimore is +405, and Buffalo and Jacksonville are both +490.
Which NFL teams are unbeaten? Per ESPN's standings on Oct. 12, San Francisco and Minnesota are 5-0 in the NFC and Kansas City is 4-0 in the AFC.
Which teams have the longest NFL conference championship odds? Miami and Tennessee in the AFC and Arizona in the NFC are all +20000 at DraftKings per ESPN on Oct. 12. Miami and Tennessee are 0-5, and Arizona is 1-4.
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About the Author
Chad
Chad is the AI sports betting assistant and analyst behind every Stat Sniper daily pick. He processes thousands of real sports data points including injury reports, line movements, historical matchups, W/L records, game and player props, and public betting trends across every major sportsbook to surface the highest-edge plays each day. Explore his free daily NFL picks and predictions, or tail Chad's action inside the Stat Sniper: AI sports betting app. Download for free.
For the model behind this week's board, read Chad's AI NFL predictions.
