Pereira vs Pavlovich Odds 2026: Pavlovich -135 at UFC 335

Sergei Pavlovich opened as a -135 moneyline favorite over Alex Pereira, who sits at +114, on DraftKings Sportsbook, per DraftKings Network on Oct. 3. The opening Pereira vs Pavlovich odds arrived the night the fight was announced: a five-round heavyweight co-main event at UFC 335 on Dec. 12, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, per ESPN. Dana White announced the booking Saturday night, Oct. 3, per DraftKings Network.

It is a short price on a fight with real stakes. Pereira lost his heavyweight debut in June, and Pavlovich is riding a three-fight win streak. ESPN wrote that a win figures to elevate Pereira back into title contention, but called Pavlovich a real challenge.

Pereira vs Pavlovich Odds: The Opening Line

DraftKings posted the opener on Oct. 3, per DraftKings Network. LowKick MMA reported the same -135 and +114 numbers and also cited an odds-comparison listing showing Pavlovich -140 and Pereira +110, so prices may already differ slightly between books.

| Fighter | Record (per ESPN, DK Network) | Opener, Oct. 3 | Implied probability | |-|-|-|-| | Sergei Pavlovich | 21-3 (9-3 UFC) | -135 | 57.4% | | Alex Pereira | 13-4 (10-3 UFC) | +114 | 46.7% |

For a favorite, implied probability is odds divided by (odds plus 100), so 135 divided by 235 is about 57.4%. For an underdog it is 100 divided by (odds plus 100), so 100 divided by 214 is about 46.7%. The two add up to roughly 104.2%, and that extra 4.2 points is the book's margin. Strip it out and the no-vig split is about 55.1% Pavlovich and 44.9% Pereira, which is closer to a coin flip than the minus sign suggests.

Why Pavlovich Is the Favorite

Pavlovich, 34, is 9-3 in the UFC with seven knockouts, per ESPN. He has won three straight since 2025, beating Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Waldo Cortes Acosta and Tallison Teixeira, and DraftKings Network notes the Teixeira win was a 39-second knockout in May. ESPN describes him as a former interim title challenger; per DraftKings Network, Tom Aspinall stopped him for the interim belt in November 2023.

LowKick MMA reported that Pavlovich is listed second in the UFC heavyweight rankings, one place ahead of Pereira, and pointed to his natural size and experience against heavyweight opposition as the likely drivers of the opening number. The same outlet flagged the counterpoint: Pavlovich has been stopped before, and this booking is five rounds.

Pereira's Case at Plus Money

Pereira, 39, is a former two-weight UFC champion who vacated his 205-pound title in February to chase an unprecedented third UFC championship, per ESPN. His heavyweight debut did not go to plan. He faced Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title at UFC Freedom Fights 250 at the White House in June and lost by TKO in the second round, per ESPN.

ESPN reported that Pereira complained of blows to the back of the head after that loss and campaigned for a rematch. Gane has since been promoted to undisputed champion and will face Josh Hokit in November, per ESPN. DraftKings Network wrote that Pereira is staying at heavyweight with his sights set on becoming the first three-division champion in UFC history. For more on how the top of the division got here, see our breakdown of who Ciryl Gane fights next.

UFC 335 will be his second heavyweight fight. The +114 price asks one question: can his striking translate better in a second try at the weight against a heavyweight with seven UFC knockouts?

The Rest of the UFC 335 Card

Pereira vs Pavlovich is the co-main, not the headliner. A BMF lightweight title fight between Charles Oliveira (37-11) and Diego Lopes (28-8) tops the card, per ESPN. Oliveira, 36, is coming off a five-round decision win over Max Holloway in March, and Lopes, a two-time featherweight title challenger, moves up to lightweight for the first time in his UFC career, per ESPN.

A UFC on Paramount+ post quoted by DraftKings Network lists the event as live on Paramount+.

Betting Angles for UFC 335

The main angle is price, not picks. At 57.4% implied, Pavlovich needs to win this fight more often than that for -135 to pay off over time. Pereira at +114 only needs to clear about 46.7%. With the no-vig gap near 10 points, shopping between -135 and -140 on the favorite (or +114 and +110 on the underdog) is worth doing.

No book in the sources reviewed for this post had posted method-of-victory, round or distance props as of Oct. 4. When they arrive, the useful reference points are already on record: Pavlovich's seven UFC knockouts, the 39-second finish of Teixeira, Pereira's second-round TKO loss to Gane, and a five-round format that gives either man more time to find a finish.

For daily model reads across every sport, StatSniper's AI sports picks hub tracks pricing as lines move, and the UFC daily picks page covers each card as fight week approaches.

What to Watch Next

The fight is more than two months away, so the opener is only the start of the market. Watch for three things:

Line movement. Check whether DraftKings holds Pavlovich at the -135 opener, per DraftKings Network, or moves toward the -140 that LowKick MMA cited.

Card changes. Any change to either bout would reshape the event, and a new opponent for either man would mean a new line.

Fight week and weigh-ins. Both men need to make weight for a heavyweight bout in December. Official weigh-in results are the last major checkpoint.

ESPN's UFC 335 announcement has the full fight details and will carry any card updates.

FAQ

What are the Pereira vs Pavlovich odds for UFC 335? DraftKings Sportsbook opened Sergei Pavlovich at -135 and Alex Pereira at +114 on Oct. 3, per DraftKings Network. That implies about 57.4% for Pavlovich and 46.7% for Pereira before removing the book's margin.

When and where is Pereira vs Pavlovich? The five-round heavyweight co-main event is set for UFC 335 on Dec. 12, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, per ESPN.

Is Pereira vs Pavlovich a title fight? No. LowKick MMA reported it is not a title fight, and ESPN lists it as a five-round heavyweight co-main event. Per ESPN, Ciryl Gane is the undisputed heavyweight champion and will face Josh Hokit in November.

Who headlines UFC 335? Charles Oliveira defends the BMF title against Diego Lopes in a lightweight bout that headlines the card, per ESPN and DraftKings Network.

Chad AI tracks every UFC line, from early openers like this one to fight-week props, inside the StatSniper app. Ask Chad for a live breakdown as UFC 335 gets closer.

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