AI MLB-spillerprops

Emerson is on a cold streak, averaging just 0.40 hits per game over his last 5 outings. He faces Taj Bradley, who limits hits at a rate 4 percent better than the league average. Additionally, Emerson hits 7 percent worse at home than his season average, and the low game total suggests fewer opportunities for everyone in the lineup.

Taveras faces a tough task against Zack Wheeler, whose 2.53 ERA significantly lowers the probability of runs being scored. Despite a recent hot streak, the model suggests a 20 percent downward adjustment in his scoring chances due to the elite pitching matchup and a low game total.

Cole has been incredibly sharp lately, averaging only 0.8 walks over his last 5 games. He has stayed under this 1.5 line in 8 of his 12 starts this season, which is 67 percent of the time. Facing an average Cubs offense should help him maintain this control.