AI MLB 플레이어 프롭

Tristan Peters has scored 63 runs in 156 games, an average of 0.4 per game, and the prop evidence shows he has gone over this line in only 7 of his last 25 games. Gavin Williams' 3.76 ERA lowers the run probability by about 6%, while the 6.5 total points to roughly 8% lower scoring than the league average. The model gives Peters a 29.3% chance to score at least once.

Victor Mesa Jr averages 0.5 runs per game this season, but the model gives him only a 27.8% chance to score at least once here. Cam Schlittler's 1.95 ERA cuts expected run probability by about 30%, and the 6.5 game total suggests scoring should be about 8% below the league average. Mesa has been hot recently at 0.60 runs per game over his last five, but that is only 8% above his season average and doesn't erase the matchup downgrade.