AI MLB 플레이어 프롭

Smith Shawver is averaging 2.8 walks per game this season, with 11 total walks across four games. The projection sits at 2.375, comfortably above the 1.5 line. The matchup is against an average offensive quality ranking, so there is no strong adjustment working against the over.

Nimmo has averaged 0.00 runs per game over his last five games, compared with a season average of 0.41. The model gives him only a 27.2% chance to score, with the projection adjusted down 22% based on matchup factors. The total of 8 runs also points to a scoring environment below the league average of 8.5.

Tawa is averaging 1.1 total bases per game this season, but that number drops to 0.6 over his last five games. The matchup is against an average ranked defense, where he averages 0.0 total bases compared with 1.1 overall. His recent performance and the matchup adjustment both point toward the under, while the last 25 game sample shows only 8 overs in 25 chances.