AI MLB 플레이어 프롭

Ryan has allowed an average of 2.3 earned runs this season, but that number jumps to 4.4 over his last five games. The model projects 2.538 earned runs, and the over has landed in 16 of his 25 games. Even against an average ranked defense, the recent trend points clearly above 1.5.

Edman is averaging only 0.2 total bases over his last five games, far below his 1.3 season average. The matchup evidence is also poor, with an average of 0.0 total bases against this defensive tier. His recent sample has gone over 1.5 total bases just 5 times in 25 games, supporting the under.

Mangum has averaged 0.00 runs over his last five games, down from a season average of 0.44. Noah Cameron's 3.84 ERA is below the league average of 4.15, lowering the run expectation by about 5%, while the 7.5 run total points to a lower scoring environment. The model gives Mangum only a 27.3% chance to score.