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All player props

Best MLS Player Props · April 4, 2026

MLS Player Props

AI-ranked player prop edges for the April 4, 2026 MLS slate — sorted by projected edge, with confidence ratings and matchup context.

NBANFLMLBNHLNCAABEPLSerie AMLSUFCPFLF1PGA

3 Props · Sorted by Edge

Updated April 4, 2026

Marcel Hartel OVER 1 Player Shots On Target

NYC vs STL·Game pick: NYC -1

Edge

46.0%

Confidence

90%

Hartel's averaging 2.3 shots on target per game with 9 total in 4 games. Small sample regressed to 1.28. He's hot, averaging 2.3 over last 5 versus 1.3 season norm, trending up 0.4. Even against NYC's elite 10th defense subtracting 0.1, plus well rested 13 days adding 0.06.

Brayan Ceballos OVER 1 Player Shots

NE vs MTL·Game pick: NE -0.5

Edge

41.9%

Confidence

80%

Ceballos averages 0.7 shots per game with 2 total in 3 games. Small sample regressed to 1.19. Matchup against Montreal's weak 29th defense adds 0.2 shots. Well rested 13 days boosts by 5 percent or 0.05.

Ashley Westwood OVER 1 Player Shots

CLT vs PHI·Game pick: CLT -0.5

Edge

5.9%

Confidence

90%

Westwood's season average sits at 0.4 shots per game with 2 total in 5 games. Small sample gets regressed up to 0.95. Facing Philly's weak 20th ranked defense adds 0.1 shots. He's well rested after 14 days, boosting by 5 percent or 0.04 shots.

Disclaimer: Chad is an AI analyst and can be wrong. Props are recommendations based on the available data, not guaranteed outcomes. Please bet responsibly.

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