AI Serie A Player Props

Lobotka is averaging 1.0 shot per game, with 2 total shots across Napoli's first 2 games. The small sample has been regressed from 1.00 to 1.36, which supports the over despite the limited early season data. The matchup against Internazionale's number five defensive solidity rating trims 0.1 shots, but five days of rest adds 5%, or 0.06 shots. The projection still reaches 1.3182142857142858, giving the over a 50.0% edge.

Kossounou has 0 shots across 2 games this season, but the small sample is regressed from 0.00 to 1.07. The matchup is difficult, with Roma ranked second in defensive solidity and the evidence trimming 0.2 shots. Still, five days of rest adds 5%, or 0.05 shots, and the projection reaches 0.959642857142857. That leaves the over with a listed 50.0% edge.

Comuzzo is averaging 1.0 shot per game, with 2 total shots in 2 games. That small sample is regressed from 1.00 to 1.36, and the matchup provides the bigger boost. Torino ranks 18th in defensive solidity, and the evidence adds 0.2 shots against that weak defense. Six days of rest adds 5%, or 0.06 shots, lifting the projection to 1.6182142857142858.