AI Пропси гравців MLB

Bobby Witt Jr averages 1.7 total bases per game this season, but that production has fallen to 0.6 over his last five games. The matchup evidence is also negative, with Witt averaging 0.0 total bases against an average ranked defense compared with his 1.7 overall average. The current form and matchup adjustment both point toward the under.

Hao Yu has averaged 1.2 total bases per game this season and has been hot lately at 2.4 over his last five games. That recent streak is pushing his price upward, but the matchup evidence points the other way. Against an average ranked defense, he averages 0.0 total bases compared with 1.2 overall, creating a strong negative adjustment for this spot.

Brett Baty has averaged 0.4 runs per game this season, but he has scored 0.00 runs per game over his last five. The model gives him only a 27.0% chance of scoring at least one run, and the performance data shows just 7 overs in 25 games at this line. Even with Aaron Nola's above average 4.69 ERA increasing run probability by roughly 8%, the recent form and projected probability still support the under.