AI MLB 플레이어 프롭

Mauricio Dubon has scored 60 runs in 139 games, an average of 0.4 per game, and he's at 0.00 runs per game over his last five. The projection gives him only a 29.2% chance to score, adjusted down 20% from his season average because of the matchup factors. His recent 25 game sample went over this line just 5 times, or 20%, which makes the under the clear prop side.

Michael Conforto averages 0.3 runs per game this season, with 31 runs in 100 games. Paul Skenes owns a 3.83 ERA, better than the 4.15 league average, and that lowers Conforto's run probability by about 5%. The projection gives him a 27.4% chance to score, while his last 25 games went over this line only 6 times, or 24%.

Sal Frelick averages 1.0 total bases per game this season, but that drops to 0.8 over his last five. He is also facing an average ranked defense, and the evidence shows he averages 0.0 total bases against that defensive tier compared with 1.0 overall. His last 25 games produced an over only 8 times, or 32%, against the 1.5 total base line.