MLS Best Bets, Predictions & Expert Picks Sunday, April 12, 2026

Analysis

Columbus Crew sit at 1 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses. They face an Orlando City SC side that's struggled hard, just 1 win and 5 losses with zero draws. Model projects Columbus winning by 2.2 goals against a -1.5 line. That's a clean 8.8 percent edge. Columbus thrives at home, and Orlando's defense has leaked goals all season. Orlando can't buy a result on the road. They've got no points from away games, shipping goals left and right. Columbus, even with their middling record, controls possession and peppers shots. Expect them to build a multi goal lead early. Draw probability feels low here too. Orlando hasn't drawn once, and Columbus rarely lets weak attacks hang around. The under screams value too, but we'll hit that separately. Model total at 2.3 versus 3.5 line means a whopping 34.6 percent edge to under. Both teams average under two goals per game combined. Columbus keeps clean sheets often at home. Orlando scores maybe once every three matches. This stays low scoring, Columbus up 2 nothing or 3 zero. Public might chase Orlando's name, but numbers say fade. Lock in the Crew. They cover this easily.

Public Fade

Everyone remembers Orlando's playoff runs from years back. They're piling on the away dog here. But 1 and 5 record? Weak sauce. Model sees Columbus feasting.