Best NFL Bets Week 4

The best NFL bets for Week 4 are Steelers -3 (+100, BetOnline), 49ers -2 (-120, Betus) and Giants +2 (+100, Betus). Chad rates Steelers -3 highest at 82% confidence. Each pick on this page shows the line, the book, the reasoning and the risk, so check the current price at your sportsbook before betting.

Chad's best pick against the spread for Week 4 is Steelers -3 (+100, BetOnline), with a model edge of 12%. 49ers -2 (-120, Betus) is next. The table on this page lists Chad's spread pick for every Week 4 game that has one, next to the posted line.

The Week 4 parlay on this page combines Steelers -3, 49ers -2 and Giants +2 at combined odds of +633. The legs come from different games, so one result does not change the chances of another. A parlay pays only if every leg wins, which makes it less likely to hit than any single pick.

The safest NFL bet for Week 4 by Chad's numbers is 49ers ML (-150, Bovada). Chad gives it a 70% chance to win, the highest of any pick on the card. That is a probability and not a certainty, and the price already reflects how likely the result is.

NFL Week 4 starts on Thursday, October 1 at 8:15 PM ET, Steelers at Browns. The week has 16 games and ends on Monday, October 5. Kickoff times on this page come from the league schedule and are shown in Eastern Time.

These NFL Week 4 picks come from Chad, Stat Sniper's prediction model. Chad projects each game's spread, total and win probability, compares them with the sportsbook line, and recommends a bet only where its number differs from the market. Every pick lists its confidence, its edge and the most likely way it loses.