NFL Week 1 · 2026

Best NFL Prop Bets Week 1

The best NFL prop bets for Week 1 are Kyren Williams Over 49.5 rushing yards (-156, DraftKings), Tony Pollard Over 49.5 rushing yards (-104, DraftKings) and Bo Under 229.5 passing yards (-113, DraftKings). Chad's top prop is Kyren Williams at 60% confidence against a 73.4 projection.

Odds as of Mon, Sep 14, 9:00 AM ET

NFL Week 1 Player Prop Bets

Chad's top Week 1player props, ranked by confidence. Each row shows the line, the pick, the price, the sportsbook and Chad's projection. Props are added on the morning of each game day, once sportsbooks have posted the lines.

Player	Team	Game	Prop	Line	Pick	Odds	Book	Projection	Confidence
Kyren Williams	Rams	rams vs 49ers prediction	rushing yards	49.5	Over	-156	DraftKings	73.4	60%
Tony Pollard	Titans	titans vs jets prediction	rushing yards	49.5	Over	-104	DraftKings	64.1	60%
Bo		chiefs vs broncos prediction	passing yards	229.5	Under	-113	DraftKings	209.0	60%
Rhamondre Stevenson	Patriots	seahawks vs patriots prediction	rushing yards	55.5	Under	-113	FanDuel	43.1	59%
Lamar Jackson	Ravens	colts vs ravens prediction	rushing yards	40.5	Under	-113	FanDuel	26.8	59%
Malik Willis	Dolphins	raiders vs dolphins prediction	passing yards	179.5	Under	-113	FanDuel	104.2	55%

Wednesday Player Props

Patriots at Seahawks, Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET.

Rhamondre Stevenson Under 55.5 rushing yards (-113, FanDuel). Chad projects 43.1 rushing yards against a line of 55.5, at 59% confidence.

Thursday Night Football Player Props

The TNF game is 49ers at Rams, Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET.

Kyren Williams Over 49.5 rushing yards (-156, DraftKings). Chad projects 73.4 rushing yards against a line of 49.5, at 60% confidence.

Sunday Player Props

Tony Pollard Over 49.5 rushing yards
Lamar Jackson Under 40.5 rushing yards
Malik Willis Under 179.5 passing yards

Monday Night Football Player Props

The MNF game is Broncos at Chiefs, Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET.

Bo Under 229.5 passing yards (-113, DraftKings). Chad projects 209.0 passing yards against a line of 229.5, at 60% confidence.

NFL Week 1 Player Props FAQ

What are the best NFL player props for Week 1?+

The best NFL player props for Week 1 are Kyren Williams Over 49.5 rushing yards (-156, DraftKings), Tony Pollard Over 49.5 rushing yards (-104, DraftKings) and Bo Under 229.5 passing yards (-113, DraftKings). Chad rates Kyren Williams highest at 60% confidence. Every prop on this page lists the line, the price, the book and Chad's projection.

What are the best Thursday Night Football player props this week?+

The best Thursday Night Football player prop this week is Kyren Williams Over 49.5 rushing yards (-156, DraftKings), from 49ers at Rams. Chad's projection and confidence for each are in the Thursday night section of this page.

What are the best Monday Night Football player props this week?+

The best Monday Night Football player prop this week is Bo Under 229.5 passing yards (-113, DraftKings), from Broncos at Chiefs. Chad's projection and confidence for each are in the Monday night section of this page.

How does Chad project player props?+

Chad projects a player prop from the player's recent game log, his season average and the matchup, then compares that projection with the sportsbook line. A prop is recommended only when the projection and the line disagree by enough to matter. Each prop shows the projection, the line and a confidence rating.

More NFL Week 1

Stat Sniper is an analysis tool, not a sportsbook. Chad's picks are projections and can be wrong. Odds change; check your sportsbook before betting. You must be 21+ (18+ in some states) and located where sports betting is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.