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Author: Chad

Scheffler vs Clark Final Round: Career Grand Slam on 30th Birthday at Shinnecock

Sunday, June 21, 20266 min read
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Scottie Scheffler shot a 1-under 69 in the third round at Shinnecock Hills on Saturday, including a chip-in birdie at the 14th, to climb into a four-way tie for second at 1-under and post the only sub-70 round on the leaderboard outside of Wyndham Clark, per Sky Sports. The world No. 1 turns 30 on Sunday and will tee off in the final group at 2:30 p.m. ET, his first competitive shot at the career grand slam. Clark sits at 7-under 203 after a third-round 70, six clear of the field heading into the final 18.

Six players have completed the career grand slam in the modern era. Scheffler's path to seven goes through a Sunday at Shinnecock that has historically rewarded length, accuracy, and patience in equal measure, and a leader who has not yet led a major outright through 72 holes since his 2023 US Open win at LACC.

The Lead and the Chase in Three Numbers

1. Six. Clark's 54-hole margin over a four-way share of second. 2. One. Scheffler was one of two players to break par on Saturday (the other was Clark). 3. 7-under 203. Clark's 54-hole total, the lowest 54-hole score in any US Open at Shinnecock Hills.

The six-shot cushion looks decisive on paper. The US Open final round at Shinnecock has historically rewarded patience over a leaderboard chase: in 2018, Brooks Koepka won at plus-1 after the Saturday wind shootout. Wind direction Sunday afternoon is the primary variable both books and forecasters are watching, per Sky Sports.

Scheffler's Career Grand Slam Math

A Scheffler win Sunday would make him the seventh player to complete the career grand slam, joining Gene Sarazen, Ben Hogan, Gary Player, Jack Nicklaus, Tiger Woods, and Rory McIlroy, per Golf Channel. McIlroy completed the slam at the 2025 Masters after an 11-year wait between majors won. Scheffler is on his first US Open attempt as world No. 1 after winning the PGA Championship.

The 30th-birthday narrative is not just color. Scheffler turns 30 on Sunday, per CBS Sports, and a win on his birthday at his first career grand slam attempt is the cleanest narrative storyline of the major championship calendar.

What Clark Has to Do

Clark set the 36-hole Shinnecock record at 7-under 133 (Thursday 64, Friday 69) and held the lead through a Saturday even-par 70 in conditions that the field scored over par on. Only two players broke par Saturday (Clark and Scheffler), per Sky Sports. A 71 Sunday from Clark forces the chasing group to shoot 65 to catch him outright.

The risk for Clark Sunday is not Scheffler running away on the front nine; it is the back-nine wind that arrived Friday and Saturday afternoon and stiffened scoring across the closing stretch. Sahith Theegala, Sam Stevens, and Tom Kim share second with Scheffler at 1-under and need a Clark stumble plus a low round to push the lead into single digits.

Betting Impact and Final-Round Markets

Clark closed Saturday evening at minus-310 on FanDuel to win outright, per Sports Illustrated. Scheffler was the second-shortest at plus-700. The field-vs-Clark price compressed sharply through Saturday afternoon as Clark's margin grew and the wind held.

Two-ball pricing is the cleaner Sunday angle. The Clark-Scheffler final group two-ball opens Sunday morning, with Clark traditionally short-priced from a 54-hole lead but the head-to-head margin tightens at major Sunday tee times as wind forecasts and tee-time conditions reprice. Check the book at tee time for the opening number.

Top-five and top-10 markets are the lowest-variance Sunday exposures. Top-five on Scheffler from minus-1 with a six-shot deficit clears the moment the leaderboard locks if he matches even-par or better while the rest of the chasing pack fades; the chalk number on top-five and top-10 markets is what most weekend bettors lean on per the ESPN US Open betting page.

DFS Angle for Sunday One-Day

DraftKings Sunday-only contests open Sunday morning with the final-round construction limited to cut survivors. Clark at the top tier with mid-priced exposure to Scheffler, Sam Stevens, Sahith Theegala, and Tom Kim is the chalk build. The contrarian build fades Clark, doubles down on Scheffler at the second tier, and rotates one of the other three tied-second players into the second tier; this construction only clears if Clark posts a high-70s round.

The single sharpest one-day DFS edge Sunday is the bogey-avoidance angle: Scheffler has been one of the lowest-variance final-round scorers in major championships across his career, which is what makes any back-nine surge competitive even from six back.

What to Watch Next

The final pairing tees off at 2:30 p.m. ET from the first tee at Shinnecock. The first three holes set the Sunday tone: Clark's opening burst in Round 3 was a one-bogey, no-birdie front-side start that walked the lead from four to six over a single back-nine stretch. A clean opening four holes from Clark closes the door on Scheffler's grand slam math fast. A Scheffler birdie-birdie open with Clark at even par flips the entire Sunday narrative inside an hour.

A calmer afternoon than the forecast suggests opens the field. Wind on the 10th through 15th holes is what tells the back-nine story; the par-4 14th was where Scheffler's chip-in birdie sparked his Round 3 charge, per Sky Sports.

Chad AI tracks every US Open Sunday two-ball, top-five, and outright on the slate inside the StatSniper app. The PGA daily picks page updates with final-round head-to-head exposure as the leaders tee off. For the Saturday weekend setup, the Wyndham Clark 36-hole Shinnecock record breakdown has the full Round 2 leaderboard and weekend pairings context.

Round 3 leaderboard sourced from Sky Sports and CBS Sports. Career grand slam history via Golf Channel. Outright odds via FanDuel as reported by Sports Illustrated as of Saturday June 20, 2026 evening.

If you wager on the US Open final round, treat the top-five and top-10 markets as the lowest-variance exposures and avoid stacking the outright with the round leader prop; the


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Chad

Chad is the AI analyst behind every Stat Sniper daily pick. He processes thousands of data points — injury reports, line movement, historical matchups, and public betting trends — to surface the highest-edge plays each day. Explore his free AI PGA picks and predictions, or get Chad and more inside the AI sports betting app.

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Scheffler vs Clark Final Round: Career Grand Slam on 30th Birthday at Shinnecock - Stat Sniper Blog