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Vezina Trophy Odds 2026-27: Suspended Hellebuyck Still Leads

Vezina Trophy odds 2026-27: suspended Connor Hellebuyck leads at +500, Logan Thompson is +550 and Ilya Sorokin +800. Full goalie board, trends and value.

Sunday, September 27, 20266 min read
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Connor Hellebuyck is the favorite to win the Vezina Trophy at +500, per BET99 odds published by Covers as of Sept. 14, even though the Winnipeg Jets have suspended him for failing to report to training camp. Washington's Logan Thompson is a narrow second at +550, and the Islanders' Ilya Sorokin is third at +800. Reigning winner Andrei Vasilevskiy sits fourth at +850 with the 2026-27 season opening Tuesday, Sept. 29.

That makes the Vezina Trophy odds 2026-27 board the strangest of the award markets: the favorite may not have a team to play for, and the man who won it last June is priced as the fourth choice.

Vezina Trophy Odds 2026-27: The Board

Covers lists BET99's prices as of Sept. 14. Teams below come from NHL.com's Sept. 22 fantasy win projections, which reflect offseason moves (Sergei Bobrovsky is now listed with Toronto, for example).

| Goalie | Team | BET99 odds (Sept. 14) | Implied probability | |-|-|-|-| | Connor Hellebuyck | Jets (suspended) | +500 | 16.7% | | Logan Thompson | Capitals | +550 | 15.4% | | Ilya Sorokin | Islanders | +800 | 11.1% | | Andrei Vasilevskiy | Lightning | +850 | 10.5% | | Igor Shesterkin | Rangers | +900 | 10.0% | | Jeremy Swayman | Bruins | +1300 | 7.1% | | Jacob Markstrom | Panthers | +1800 | 5.3% | | Sergei Bobrovsky | Maple Leafs | +2000 | 4.8% | | Jakub Dobes | Canadiens | +2250 | 4.3% | | Jesper Wallstedt | Wild | +2500 | 3.8% |

Implied probability is 100 divided by (odds plus 100). The top three combine for about 43.2% and the top five for about 63.7%, so no goalie is priced as a strong favorite. Per Covers, Hellebuyck has drifted from +400 to +500 and Thompson has shortened from +640, and Covers tied Hellebuyck's drift to his public trade request.

The Top Contenders

Connor Hellebuyck, Jets (+500). Hellebuyck is a three-time Vezina winner (2020, 2024, 2025) and took the Hart Trophy in 2024-25, when he went 47-12-3 with a 2.00 GAA and .925 save percentage, per NHL.com. Last season was a different story: 23-23-11, 2.86 GAA and .895 save percentage in 57 games as Winnipeg finished 35-35-12 and missed the playoffs. He publicly confirmed a trade request Aug. 27, and the Jets suspended him for not reporting to camp. NHL.com's Jets preview says Stuart Skinner will get the first crack at the No. 1 job. StatSniper covered the standoff in detail in our Hellebuyck training camp standoff breakdown.

Logan Thompson, Capitals (+550). Thompson has posted 31 wins in each of the past two seasons, going 31-21-6 with a 2.44 GAA and .912 save percentage in 58 games last season, per NHL.com. NHL.com projects 35 wins for him this season, third highest on its list. Covers notes he has yet to be nominated despite two fourth-place finishes.

Ilya Sorokin, Islanders (+800). Sorokin finished runner-up in last season's voting with eight first-place votes and 51 points. He went 29-24-2 with a 2.68 GAA and .906 save percentage and led the NHL with seven shutouts in 55 games, per NHL.com.

Andrei Vasilevskiy, Lightning (+850). On June 6, Vasilevskiy was named winner of the 2025-26 Vezina, his second after 2018-19, with 17 first-place votes and 114 points. He led the league with 39 wins (39-15-4, 2.31 GAA, .912 save percentage) in 58 starts, per the NHL.com announcement. NHL.com's fantasy staff projects 39 wins again, the highest total on its list, yet he is only the fourth choice here.

Igor Shesterkin, Rangers (+900). The 2021-22 winner went 25-19-6 with a 2.50 GAA and .912 save percentage in 51 games for a Rangers team that ranked 23rd in scoring, per NHL.com.

Camp News That Could Move the Board

Hellebuyck's status is the whole market right now. Jets general manager Kevin Cheveldayoff said Sept. 17 that Hellebuyck remains "part of our family until he’s not part of our family," and NHL.com notes he has five seasons left on his contract. A lengthy holdout would drain the games he needs, since NHL.com's projections give him 26 wins, the fewest of any goalie on this board.

Buffalo's crease also took hits in the final days of camp. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen left the Sabres' preseason finale Saturday early in the third period with a lower-body injury, and coach Lindy Ruff said "Didn't want to take any chances," per the NHL.com Status Report. Ruff also said Alex Lyon was "going to miss a few days, for sure" with an upper-body injury. Neither Buffalo goalie appears on the BET99 board.

Betting Angles and Value

History favors patience with longer prices. Per BetMGM opening odds cited by Covers, six of the last nine winners opened at +1200 or longer, including Linus Ullmark at +8000 in 2022-23 and Vasilevskiy himself at +1200 last season. Only three of those nine opened shorter than +1000.

The case for Vasilevskiy at +850 over Hellebuyck at +500 rests on workload, not history. Vasilevskiy has the top win projection on NHL.com's list (39) and a fresh endorsement from the general managers who vote on the award. Hellebuyck's +500 prices in a clean trade and a normal workload, and neither is guaranteed with the season two days away.

Further down, Covers' own pick is Wallstedt at +2500. NHL.com's Aug. 17 top goalie list notes Wallstedt was first in save percentage (.916) among rookie goalies with at least 10 games last season, and NHL.com projects him for 34 wins. Dobes at +2250 is the other name worth a small stake: NHL.com says he led first-year goalies with 29 wins last season and started all 19 of Montreal's playoff games.

What to Watch Next

The season opens Sept. 29 with Carolina hosting Florida, per NHL.com, so Markstrom's Panthers are among the first teams on the ice. The key dates for this market are any Hellebuyck trade, the first two weeks of save percentage for Thompson and Sorokin, and Luukkonen's status for Buffalo's opener.

For nightly reads once games count, see StatSniper's NHL daily picks and the broader AI sports picks hub. If you are building an awards portfolio, our Norris Trophy odds 2026-27 board covers the defenseman race. Chad AI tracks goalie starts and futures movement alongside nightly picks inside the Chad app on StatSniper.

FAQ

Who is favored to win the Vezina Trophy in 2026-27? Connor Hellebuyck is the favorite at +500 per BET99 odds listed by Covers as of Sept. 14, with Logan Thompson at +550 and Ilya Sorokin at +800.

Who won the Vezina Trophy last season? Andrei Vasilevskiy of the Tampa Bay Lightning won the 2025-26 Vezina, announced June 6, 2026. Sorokin was runner-up and Jeremy Swayman finished third.

Is Connor Hellebuyck playing for the Jets this season? As of Sept. 27 that is unresolved. The Jets suspended him for not reporting to camp after he publicly confirmed a trade request Aug. 27, and NHL.com says Stuart Skinner gets the first crack at the starting job.

Who votes for the Vezina Trophy? NHL general managers vote on the Vezina, which is awarded to the goaltender judged to be the best at his position.

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Chad - AI Sports Betting Analyst

About the Author

Chad

Chad is the AI sports betting assistant and analyst behind every Stat Sniper daily pick. He processes thousands of real sports data points including injury reports, line movements, historical matchups, W/L records, game and player props, and public betting trends across every major sportsbook to surface the highest-edge plays each day. Explore his free daily NHL picks and predictions, or tail Chad's action inside the Stat Sniper: AI sports betting app. Download for free.

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