Rafael Tobias AI Picks, Projections & Props
Light Heavyweight
“Bipolar” · Brazil
14
W
3
L
0
D
Profile
Rafael Tobias Fighter Profile
- Record (W-L-D)
- 14-3-0
- Recent form
- 1-2 in last 3
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 6' 2"
- Reach
- 74"
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Nationality
- Brazil
Fight history
Rafael Tobias Fight History
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Rd | Time | Sig. str | TD | Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lucas Fernando | L | KO/TKO · Victory by Knee | 3 | 1:10 | 13/56 | 1/1 | UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Diyar Nurgozhay | L | Decision · 27-30 | 28-29 | 28-29 | 3 | 5:00 | 39/101 | 2/8 | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Jair de Oliveira | W | Submission | 1 | — | 13/42 | 1/1 | Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 7 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wellington Silva Lopes | W | KO/TKO · Victory by KO/TKO | 2 | - | — | — | TKO Palmasnet 3 |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Marcelo Alejandro Nunez Sparling | W | KO/TKO · Victory by Punches | 1 | 1:10 | — | — | FFC 79: Sordi vs. Lezama |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Willyanedson Paiva | W | Decision · Victory by Decision - Unanimous | 3 | 5:00 | — | — | Fight Music Show: Fight Night 3 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Guilherme Cunha | W | Submission · Victory by Arm Triangle | 1 | 1:11 | — | — | Fighter Stars 3 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Luis Andrade de Oliveira | W | Submission | 1 | — | — | — | Castro Fight Night 2 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Diego Frigotto | W | KO/TKO | 1 | — | — | — | Spartacus MMA: Arnold Fest South America |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Rick Martin | W | Submission · Victory by Rear Naked Choke | 1 | 4:00 | — | — | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 34 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Nathan Oliveira | W | Decision - Unanimous | 3 | — | — | — | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 19 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Alexandre Borges | W | KO/TKO | 1 | — | — | — | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 12 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Haroldo Mesquita | W | Submission | 1 | — | — | — | Spartacus MMA: Spartacus Fight Event 9 |
| Jul 28, 2022 | Sombay Silvino | W | Decision - Unanimous | 3 | — | — | — | CWB Fight League 28 |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Guilherme Cena | W | Submission · Victory by Arm Triangle | 2 | 3:10 | — | — | BFS 8: Brazilian Fighting Series 8 |
| Mar 18, 2022 | Roger Freitas | W | KO/TKO · Victory by KO/TKO | 1 | 3:00 | — | — | Metanoia Fight Combat: MFC 2022 |
| — | Marcelo Alejandro Nunez Sparling | W | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| — | Miguel Porto | L | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Career
Rafael Tobias Career Stats
Per-fight averages across every bout on record.
- Sig. strikes landed per fight
- 3.6
- Sig. strike accuracy
- 32.7%
- Takedowns landed per fight
- 0.22
- Takedown accuracy
- 40%
- Knockdowns per fight
- 0
- Submission attempts per fight
- 0.11
- Control time per fight
- 0:11
- Wins by KO/TKO
- 5 (33%)
- Wins by submission
- 6 (40%)
- Wins by decision
- 3 (20%)
Profile
About Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias (“Bipolar”) is a UFC light heavyweight fighter from Brazil with a professional record of 14-3-0.
In Rafael Tobias's most recent bout, Tobias lost to Lucas Fernando by KO/TKO · Victory by Knee in round 3 at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry (August 15, 2026).
For Rafael Tobias AI sports predictions and props, Chad, Stat Sniper's AI sports betting assistant, publishes UFC picks and player props on the daily picks page.
Leaders
Top UFC Fighters
FAQ