AFC East Odds 2026: Bills -240, Patriots +190 Lead the Division

The AFC East odds 2026 board has the Buffalo Bills at -240, the New England Patriots at +190, the New York Jets at +6400 and the Miami Dolphins at +15000, per the division-winner market ESPN carries from DraftKings. Buffalo is 5-1 and listed as the clear favorite, with New England 4-3 and the only other team priced below +6400.

AFC East Odds 2026: The Full Board

We pulled these prices from ESPN's futures feed on Wednesday, Oct. 28. The feed names DraftKings as the provider but carries no timestamp, so we cannot say whether the prices already reflect the weekend's results. Check a live book before acting on any number here.

Buffalo Bills: -240, 5-1 overall, 0-1 in the division

New England Patriots: +190, 4-3 overall, 2-0 in the division

New York Jets: +6400, 2-5 overall, 0-2 in the division

Miami Dolphins: +15000, 1-5 overall, 1-0 in the division

Converted to implied probability, -240 is about 71 percent, +190 about 34 percent, +6400 about 1.5 percent and +15000 about 0.7 percent. The four prices add up to roughly 107 percent, which is the book's margin.

Where the Division Stands

Per ESPN's standings, Buffalo has scored 197 points and allowed 171 over six games, a plus-26 margin, and has won its last two. New England has scored 160 and allowed 143 over seven games, a plus-17 margin, but is coming off a loss.

The bottom of the division is a different story. The Jets have scored 137 and allowed 150, and the Dolphins have scored 98 and allowed 157, the lowest scoring total of the four teams. Both are already two or more games behind New England in the standings.

Points Per Game in the AFC East

Dividing ESPN's season totals by games played: Buffalo has scored about 32.8 points per game and allowed about 28.5 over six games. New England has scored about 22.9 and allowed about 20.4 over seven. The Jets have scored about 19.6 and allowed about 21.4, and the Dolphins have scored about 16.3 and allowed about 26.2 over six games (the Jets have played seven).

Those are arithmetic from the standings, not projections. They show that Buffalo scores the most points per game in the division and also allows the most of the four teams, while New England allows the fewest.

The Bills Had a Bye

Buffalo did not play in Week 7, per ESPN's scoreboard. The Bills are 5-1, but their only division game so far is a loss, which leaves them 0-1 in the AFC East. New England is 2-0 in the division, so the division record is worth watching.

The Bills host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, Nov. 1, on CBS. ESPN's scoreboard lists Buffalo as a 3-point favorite with a total of 54.5. The page does not name a sportsbook.

The Patriots Lost to the Bears

New England lost 24-30 to the Chicago Bears on Thursday, Oct. 22, per ESPN. That dropped the Patriots to 4-3.

New England visits Miami on Sunday, Nov. 1, on CBS, and ESPN's scoreboard lists the Patriots as 7-point favorites with a total of 43.5.

The Jets and Dolphins Met Last Sunday

Miami beat New York 28-25 on Sunday, Oct. 25, per ESPN. The result left the Jets at 2-5 on a two-game losing streak and the Dolphins at 1-5 on a one-game winning streak.

The Jets host the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, Nov. 1, on Fox. ESPN's scoreboard lists New York as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5. At +6400 and 0-2 in the division, the Jets are priced as a long shot even before that game.

Reading the Prices

The gap between Buffalo and New England is about 36 points of implied probability.

At 2-5 and 1-5, the Jets and Dolphins trail Buffalo and New England in the standings and are priced far behind them.

The Margin Between the Top Two

Buffalo's plus-26 scoring margin is the best in the division, and New England's plus-17 is second. The Jets are at minus-13 and the Dolphins at minus-59, per the same ESPN totals.

Both the Bills and Patriots are favored on Nov. 1, Buffalo by 3 points at home against Baltimore and New England by 7 points at Miami.

What to Watch Next

All four teams play on Sunday, Nov. 1. Ravens at Bills, Patriots at Dolphins and Raiders at Jets are all on the schedule, and the Bills and Patriots are each favored. Buffalo's game against Baltimore carries the biggest total of the three games involving AFC East teams at 54.5.

We also covered the AFC West odds board and the AFC South odds board. Current standings are on ESPN's NFL standings page. StatSniper's AI sports picks page covers the weekly slate.

FAQ

Who is favored to win the AFC East in 2026? The Buffalo Bills, at -240 per ESPN's DraftKings division-winner feed (no timestamp is given), ahead of the New England Patriots at +190.

What is the Bills' record in 2026? Buffalo is 5-1 per ESPN's standings, including a bye in Week 7. The Bills are 0-1 against AFC East opponents.

When do the Patriots play the Dolphins? Sunday, Nov. 1, in Miami, on CBS, per ESPN's scoreboard, which lists New England as a 7-point favorite.

Can the Jets or Dolphins still win the AFC East? Yes, on paper. Per ESPN's DraftKings feed, the Jets are 2-5 at +6400 and the Dolphins are 1-5 at +15000.

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